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Resource Section  for Meteorology

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| Temperature | Clouds | Precipitation | Wind | Atmospheric Pressure |                 |Humidity&Dew point | Forecasting | Hurricanes /Typhoon /Cyclones |                   |Snowstorms | Thunderstorms | Tornadoes | Global Issues | Glossary |

Hurricanes

image:sign for hurricanes

| Hurricanes | How are Hurricanes formed | Development of Hurricanes| |Stages of Development | Movement of Hurricanes |Destruction from Hurricanes| |Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Damage |Watch and Warning | Average number of Tropical Storms| Hurricane Checklist | Quiz | Credits |

 

What are Hurricanes ? hurricane

Hurricanes are large tropical storms with heavy winds. By definition, they contain winds in excess of 74 miles per hour (119 km per hour) and large areas of rainfall. In addition, they have the potential to spawn dangerous tornadoes. The strong winds and excessive rainfall also produce abnormal rises in sea levels and flooding.

Image which shows the map of the world and the Occurrence and Typical Paths Around the World.  This image links to a more detailed image.Christopher Columbus was the first European in modern times to write about the hurricane. The Indians of Guatemala called the god of stormy weather "Hunrakan." Similar names were probably present throughout the Caribbean. Captain Fernando de Oviedo gave storms their modern name when he wrote "So when the devil wishes to terrify them, he promises them the 'Huracan,' which means 'tempest.'" The same storms in other parts of the world are known as typhoons, baqulros, Bengal cyclones and willy-willies.

The ocean-water temperature has to be above 79 degrees F in order for a hurricane to be generated, so they normally form in late summer and early fall when the conditions are right. Meteorologists use the term tropical storm when a storm's winds are under 74 miles per hour, and hurricane when the wind speed rises. A hurricane has a peaceful center called the eye, that is often distinctive in satellite images. The eye stretches from 10 to 30 miles wide and often contains calm winds, warm temperatures and clear skies. Around this tropical bliss is a frenzy of winds gusting at speeds up to 186 miles per hour. If one percent of the energy in one hurricane could be captured, all the power, fuel, and heating requirements of the United States could be met for an entire year. It takes 500 trillion horsepower to whirl the great core of winds at such tremendous speeds. It is the equivalent of explodin

Anatomy of a Hurricane

spiral rain bands, the eye wall and the eye

hurricane structure The Eye:
A region 20-50 km in diameter found at the center where skies are often clear, winds are light, and the storm's lowest pressure readings are obtained.

Eye Wall:
A ring of cumulonimbus clouds that swirl around the eye. The heaviest precipitation and strongest winds are found here.

Spiral Rain bands:
Bands of heavy convective showers that spiral inward toward the storm's center.

 

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How are Hurricanes Formed?


Image of a hurricane approaching the coast of the United States.Left: Image produced by Hasler, Pierce, Palaniappan & Manyin of NASA's Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres - Data from NOAA

Hurricanes begin as tropical storms over the warm moist waters of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans near the equator. (Near the Phillippines and the China Sea, hurricanes are called typhoons.) As the moisture evaporates it rises until enormous amounts of heated moist air are twisted high in the atmosphere. The winds begin to circle counterclockwise north of the equator or clockwise south of the equator. The relatively peaceful center of the hurricane is called the eye. Around this center winds move at speeds between 74 and 200 miles per hour. As long as the hurricane remains over waters of 79F or warmer, it continues to pull moisture from the surface and grow in size and force. When a hurricane crosses land or cooler waters, it loses its source of power, and its wind gradually slow until they are no longer of hurricane force--less than 74 miles per hour.

 

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Development of Hurricanes

Convective Processes

and their role in the development of hurricanes

When a cold air mass is located above an organized cluster of tropical thunderstorms, an unstable atmosphere results. This instability increases the likelihood of convection, which leads to strong updrafts (red arrows) that lift the air and moisture upwards, creating an environment favorable for the development of large cumulonimbus clouds. A tropical disturbance is born, the first stage of a developing hurricane.

Animation by: Shao

Surface convergence (pink horizontal arrows in animation below) causes rising motion around a surface cyclone (labeled as "L"). The air cools as it rises (red vertical arrows) and condensation occurs, which releases latent heat into the atmosphere. This heating causes air to expand, creating an area of high pressure aloft. The force resulting from the established pressure gradient causes air to diverge at upper levels (red horizontal arrows).

Animation by: Shao

Since pressure is a measure of the weight of the air above a unit area, removal of air at upper levels subsequently reduces pressure at the surface. A further reduction in surface pressure leads to increasing convergence (due to an intensified pressure gradient), which further intensifies the rising motion, latent heat release, and so on. As long as favorable conditions exist, this process continues to build upon itself, ultimately resulting in the development of a hurricane.

 

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Stages of Development :

Stages of Development

from disturbance to hurricane

Hurricanes evolve through a life cycle of stages from birth to death. A disturbance graduates to a more intense stage of development by attaining a specified sustained wind speed.

Tropical Disturbance:
The birth of a hurricane, having only a slight circulation with no closed isobars around an area of low pressure. Tropical disturbances commonly exist in the tropical trade winds at any one time and are often accompanied by clouds and precipitation

Tropical Depression:
If sustained winds increase to at least 20 knots, a disturbance is upgraded to a tropical depression. Surface wind speeds vary between 20 and 34 knots and a tropical depression has at least one closed isobar that accompanies a drop in pressure in the center of the storm

Tropical Storm:
If sustained wind speeds increase to at least 35 knots, a tropical depression is upgraded to a tropical storm. Surface wind speeds vary between 35 and 64 knots and the storm becomes more organized. Tropical storms resemble the appearance of hurricanes due to the intensified circulation

Hurricane:
As surface pressures continue to drop, a tropical storm becomes a hurricane when sustained wind speeds exceed 64 knots. A pronounced rotation develops around the central core as spiral rain bands rotate around the eye of the storm. The heaviest precipitation and strongest winds are associated with the eye wall.

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Movement of Hurricanes

 

steered by the global winds

The global wind pattern is also known as the "general circulation" and the surface winds of each hemisphere are divided into three wind belts:

  • Polar Easterlies: From 60-90 degrees latitude.
  • Prevailing Westerlies: From 30-60 degrees latitude (aka Westerlies).
  • Tropical Easterlies: From 0-30 degrees latitude (aka Trade Winds).

 

The easterly trade winds of both hemispheres converge at an area near the equator called the "Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)", producing a narrow band of clouds and thunderstorms that encircle portions of the globe.

The path of a hurricane greatly depends upon the wind belt in which it is located. A hurricane originating in the eastern tropical Atlantic, for example, is driven westward by easterly trade winds in the tropics. Eventually, these storms turn northwestward around the subtropical high and migrate into higher latitudes. As a result, the Gulf of Mexico and East Coast of the United States are at risk to experience one or more hurricanes each year.

 

In time, hurricanes move into the middle latitudes and are driven northeastward by the westerlies, occasionally merging with mid-latitude frontal systems. Hurricanes draw their energy from the warm surface water of the tropics, which explains why hurricanes dissipate rapidly once they move over cold water or large land masses.

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Destruction from Hurricanes

Damage

caused by hurricanes

With hurricanes being as powerful as they are, it is not surprising that upon landfall they cause damage and destruction. Even when the hurricane has yet to make landfall, its effects can be dangerous. However, most of the damage caused to man and nature occur as a hurricane makes landfall.

 

Strong Winds

Flooding

 

Tornadoes

Rip Tides

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Saffir- Simpson Hurricane Damage- potential:

The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a 1-5 rating based on the hurricane's present intensity. This is used to give an estimate of the potential property damage and flooding expected along the coast from a hurricane landfall. Wind speed is the determining factor in the scale, as storm surge values are highly dependent on the slope of the continental shelf and the shape of the coastline, in the landfall region. Note that all winds are using the U.S. 1-minute average.

Category One Hurricane:
Winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt or 119-153 km/hr). Storm surge generally 4-5 ft above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Also, some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. Hurricane Lili of 2002 made landfall on the Louisiana coast as a Category One hurricane. Hurricane Gaston of 2004 was a Category One hurricane that made landfall along the central South Carolina coast.

 
Category Two Hurricane:
Winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt or 154-177 km/hr). Storm surge generally 6-8 feet above normal. Some roofing material, door, and window damage of buildings. Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some trees blown down. Considerable damage to mobile homes, poorly constructed signs, and piers. Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2-4 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings. Hurricane Frances of 2004 made landfall over the southern end of Hutchinson Island, Florida as a Category Two hurricane. Hurricane Isabel of 2003 made landfall near Drum Inlet on the Outer Banks of North Carolina as a Category 2 hurricane.
 
Category Three Hurricane:
Winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt or 178-209 km/hr). Storm surge generally 9-12 ft above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtain wall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large trees blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering from floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 ft above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required. Hurricanes Jeanne and Ivan of 2004 were Category Three hurricanes when they made landfall in Florida and in Alabama, respectively.

 
Category Four Hurricane:
Winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt or 210-249 km/hr). Storm surge generally 13-18 ft above normal. More extensive curtainwall failures with some complete roof structure failures on small residences. Shrubs, trees, and all signs are blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Extensive damage to doors and windows. Low-lying escape routes may be cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of structures near the shore. Terrain lower than 10 ft above sea level may be flooded requiring massive evacuation of residential areas as far inland as 6 miles (10 km). Hurricane Charley of 2004 was a Category Four hurricane made landfall in Charlotte County, Florida with winds of 150 mph. Hurricane Dennis of 2005 struck the island of Cuba as a Category Four hurricane.
 
Category Five Hurricane:
Winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 km/hr). Storm surge generally greater than 18 ft above normal. Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Severe and extensive window and door damage. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 ft above sea level and within 500 yards of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5-10 miles (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required. Only 3 Category Five Hurricanes have made landfall in the United States since records began: The Labor Day Hurricane of 1935, Hurricane Camille (1969), and Hurricane Andrew in August, 1992. The 1935 Labor Day Hurricane struck the Florida Keys with a minimum pressure of 892 mb--the lowest pressure ever observed in the United States. Hurricane Camille struck the Mississippi Gulf Coast causing a 25-foot storm surge, which inundated Pass Christian. Hurricane Andrew of 1992 made landfall over southern Miami-Dade County, Florida causing 26.5 billion dollars in losses--the costliest hurricane on record. In addition, Hurricane Gilbert of 1988 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity and is the strongest Atlantic tropical cyclone on record with a minimum pressure of 888 mb.
 

 

Watches and Warnings :


Modern technology provides forecasters with the ability to accurately determine the position and intensity of hurricanes. This information is used to provide advanced warnings to those populations at risk. If it appears that a particular area is in potential danger of being struck by a hurricane, a "hurricane watch" is issued, sometimes up to several days in advance of the storm's predicted arrival. When there is a high probability that a hurricane will strike an area within 24 hours, a "hurricane warning" is issued. Unfortunately, despite the advanced warning systems, hurricanes still claim the lives of hundreds, even thousands of people each year.

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Average number of tropical storms in each year :

There are an average of 85 tropical storms and 45 hurricanes/ typhoons globally per year : and about nine named storms form per year in tropical Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico area, with around six of those becoming hurricanes and two of those becoming intense hurricanes ( those with sustained winds exceeding 130mph or 209 km/hr). With 19 named storms in Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, 1995 became the second busiest hurricane season on record

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What are the Hurricane tracking models and how do they forecast ?

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Coral Gable ,Florida is a part of the National Weather Service under the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, an agency of U.S Department of Commerce. The NHS tracks tropical cyclones from the tropical depression stage through the hurricane stage over the north Atlantic Ocean , Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico and eastern Pacific Ocean and makes predictions of the future position and intensity of the cyclones.

To forecast the track and intensity of tropical cyclones .NHC uses mathematical computer models. These models represent the tropical cyclone and its environment in a greatly simplified manner. Computers running these models can forecast the future motion and intensity of a cyclone. Hurricane forecasters then interpret model results to arrive at a final track and intensity forecast ,distributing it to the public in the form of advisories.

The mathematical models used at NHC are three basic types : Statistical ,Dynamical or Combination (Statistical and Dynamical together ).Statistical models forecast the future by using current information about the hurricane and comparing it to historical knowledge about the behavior of similar tropical cyclones . The historical record for storms over the north Atlantic begins in 1871, while the record for storms for the east Pacific extends back to 1945. Dynamical models work differently . They are designed to use the results of global atmospheric model forecasts in different ways to forecast tropical cyclone motion and intensity .Global models take current wind ,temperature ,pressure and humidity observations and make forecasts of the actual atmosphere in which the cyclone exists.

Because of their mathematical simplicity ,both types of models are incomplete :Statistical models ignore current atmospheric conditions ,and Dynamical models ignore the behavior of historical storms. Combination models, however , can be constructed to capitalize on the strengths of each .

Because of their simplicity ,statistical models were designed first for tropical cyclone forecasting in the lat 1960s. In the early seventies ,combination models were developed as global models began making forecasts in tropical regions .As computers became more powerful , global models improved and pure dynamic models are beginning to dominate the accuracy race . This is particularly true when tropical cyclones approach data-rich regions  close to the continents where the state of the atmospheric environment is adequately observed and well -know  n. Over oceanic areas , far removed from land ,combination models are still the best performers

 

 

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Last updated on 10-03--06

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